I am a fantasy football fanatic, its an obsession, and since I don't have anything I really want to write about at the moment, I will focus on my fantasy football outlook for 2011. I will start at 25 and work down just to build excitement.
25. Drew Brees, QB, NO-Brees has been a top fantasy QB the last few seasons, but 2010 saw a sharp rise in interceptions. He still i probably good for 4000+ yards and 30+ TDs, I have a hard time taking him in the first two rounds.
24. Phillip Rivers, QB, SD-2010 was a coming out party for Rivers. He had a ton of potential and turned it on this past season, and most impressively did it with Vincent Jackson and Antonio Gates missing numerous games. He could move up as the offseason moves along, but he is probably a late second to early third round fantasy pick.
23. Vincent Jackson, WR, SD-Jackson only played in four games but put together 250 yards and three touchdowns. If he has a productive offseason he could easily regain his 1100-1200 yards and 10-12 touchdowns. A bit risky right now, but could be a Top 5 wide receiver in 2011.
22. Greg Jennings, WR, GB-Jennings has steadily been an undervalued player for the last four years. He constantly has been in the Top 10 among receivers, but in 2010 he tallied over 1200 yards and 12 touchdowns. He is a late second to early third round pick in 2011
21. Darren McFadden, RB, Oak-He finally lived up to his potential and finished in the Top 10 among running backs in 2011. I have him a little lower as with coaching uncertainty you are not sure what is going to happen in Oakland, but I still think he is an top scoring number two fantasy back.
20. Peyton Manning, QB, Ind-I still think he is one of the best. Had a three week span in 2010 in which he really hurt his fantasy teams but lead the league in passing yards and tallied 33 touchdowns, marking the 11th time in 12 years he has gone over 4000 yards and 25 touchdowns.
19. Tom Brady, QB, NE-Had his second best season in terms of stats in 2010, pacing the league with 36 passing touchdowns and throwing for 3900 yards and only throwing four interceptions. Brady is worth a second round pick in 2011.
18. Hakeem Nicks, WR, NYG-Had Nicks not been injured and missed three games he would have finished in the top five among receivers. He is a big physical receiver and is Eli's go to guy in the redzone. Look for an 80 catch, 1200 yard, 12 touchdown season out of him in 2011.
17. Dwayne Bowe, WR, KC-Found the endzone a league high 15 times in 2010, nearly doubling his previous career high of 7. Bowe is a bit of a risk as he has never performed at this level and lost his offensive coordinator, but the skill set warrants a second round pick.
16. Aaron Rodgers, QB, GB-My top quarterback for 2011, Rodgers posted over 3900 yards passing, over 350 yards rushing, and 32 total touchdowns. His ability to run vaults him up to the top of my QB rankings for next season and he should remain up around that level for a number of years.
15. Calvin Johnson, WR, Det-Imagine what Megatron could do with Matt Stafford at QB for a full season. In the two games that Stafford played a majority of, Johnson totaled 14 catches, 247 yards, and 4 TDs. As it was, he still found the endzone 12 times and went over 1100 yards. If he gets a healthy quarterback in 2011 he could far outscore any other wide receiever.
14. Ray Rice, RB, Bal-Rice this low doesn't feel right, but, what separates him from the other running backs is that he just doesn't get into the endzone enough. In a PPR league he is gold, but in standard leagues he is a borderline Top 10 running back. Very safe pick at this spot.
13. Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Pit-Mendenhall became a touchdown machine for the Steelers in 2011, finding the endzone 13 times and going for nearly 1300 rushing yards. Look for his numbers to remain about the same for the next couple of years as he becomes one of the top fantasy backs.
12. Frank Gore, RB, SF-Once again injuries cut short Frank Gore's season. Barring injury, Gore is a top 5-6 fantasy running back, he just can't remain healthy and that's why he is where he is in my rankings. As it was, he went over 1300 total yards despite missing the final 5 games of 2010.
11. LeSean McCoy, RB, Phi-McCoy became the centerpiece of the Philadelphia offensive attack in 2010. He put up the kind of numbers people are used to seeing from Brian Westbrook, finishing with over 1600 total yards. If he could find the endzone more consistently he would be a Top 5 player.
10. Andre Johnson, WR, Hou-Johnson played most of 2010 through injuries and as a result failed to reach 90 catches for the first time in three years. He still put up 1200+ yards and eight touchdowns. Expect him to bounce back and once again be one of the top receivers in any league.
9. Reggie Wayne, WR, Ind-Wayne's touchdowns dropped to only six, down from ten last season, but 111 catches and 1355 yards more than made up for the drop. He gets more targets than any player in the league and makes the most of them. He is a top receiver in 2011 and probably a few years after that.
8. Roddy White, WR, Atl-Led the league in catches and targets, second in yards, scored 10 touchdowns, and for the fourth year in a row finished with 80+ catches and 1100+ yards. Roddy White is my top receiver for 2011 as he and Matt Ryan have really developed into a dynamic duo. Should be a first rounder in all formats.
7. Michael Turner, RB, Atl-Returned to 2008 form, led the NFC with 1371 rushing yards and found the endzone 12 times. Turner is a workhorse back who should have no problem going over 1200 rushing yards every season. Is only hurt by his lack of receiving ability.
6. Steven Jackson, RB, STL-Arguably the most talented running back in the NFL, with a solid young quarterback Jackson should return to the fantasy elite. Jackson went over 1200 rushing yards but also tallied nearly 50 receptions and 400 receiving yards, if he could get into the endzone more consistently he could be the top fantasy back.
5. Jamaal Charles, RB, KC-Seems high at first glance, but, over 1900 total yards on only 275 touches and eight touchdowns say differently. I personally feel like Charles has the opportunity to go for 2000-2200 total yards in 2011 and could see the endzone 10-12 times. He is a great talent and looks to be used properly in Kansas City.
4. Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, Jax-Has succeeded as the workhorse back but starting losing carries down the stretch. Expect Rashad Jennings to continue to get carries, but watch MJD's production increase. Went for 1641 total yards and only 8 touchdowns, but should be able to get back up to a dozen or so trips to the endzone. Still one of the top fantasy backs.
3. Arian Foster, RB, Hou-Led the NFL in rushing yards (1614), total yards (2218), and touchdowns (22), what's he going to do for an encore? I still really like Foster, but have him third because he touched the ball 392 times last season and that's a lot of work. Look for Houston to work someone else into the lineup and take a bit of a load off Foster, but 2000 total yards and a dozen touchdowns is still very probable.
2. Chris Johnson, RB, Ten-Did not post the kind of season he had in 2009, but still finished with a dozen touchdowns and 1600+ total yards. He is the focal point of that offense and could return to his 2000 yard form. He is a low risk, high reward guy that has the ability to be the top fantasy player.
1. Adrian Peterson, RB, Min-Most talented running back in football should also return to claim his thrown as the best fantasy player in football. The quarterback situation is a question so Peterson should see a rise in touches and could easily outdo his 1639 yard, 13 touchdown season in 2010. Is as consistent a running back as any player in football.
There you go, my early 2011 rankings, I'm going to update this on a monthly basis as we progress toward next season